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Last night, BaT released a significant redesign of their Auction page. They've dropped the recently completed auctions from the bottom of the page.
I don't think its just BaT or just cars.
+ Housing has flatlined. Looking at the stocks of the big national builders --- all these taken a dive in the past quarter
+ Houses themselves -- in California all the way from northern to southern CA near the coast --- houses ain't selling anymore.
+ Forward looking P/E on the stock market isn't looking good.
+ Interest rates will increase more. Lastest unemployment figures means the Fed will certainly raise rates in December
+ China's economy is big enough that what's bad for them is also bad for us in the USA, and vice versa. China is down to a 6.7% growth rate and their stock market has taken a beating. Remember when less than double digit growth was considered bad?
+ Trade wars. Trade wars. Trade wars. The average consumer hasn't yet felt the effect --- but will very very soon.
+ Inflation is upon us --- whether its supply side inflation (tariffs) or demand side (wage hikes / interest rate). Anecdote - my local quartz/granite shop just hiked prices 25% across the board due to tariffs ... 2 weeks ago.
Anyways - cars are just a roadkill on the road to recession. People want to keep cash right now.
The market's been tanking somewhat. I'm long in Apple (almost 30 years long) and even I've been a little concerned about what's afoot. I'm betting that might very well have some people deciding to keep their wallets in their pocket.
Dan
I'm holding my Apple. Just a blip.
There's no question that the stock market plunge (driven by FAANG stocks) has reduced peoples' confidence, and bullish buying psychology. I've been saying this for weeks now. If things keep going down, I expect that we will see many of the recently acquired cars being sold by their new-ish owners. Hopefully at fire-sale prices.Did anyone notice that in yesterday's BAT closings that nearly a third of the sales didn't hit reserve?
I'm wondering if the current financial situation is forcing people out of the market, or maybe it's a seasonal thing?
Dan
Did anyone notice that in yesterday's BAT closings that nearly a third of the sales didn't hit reserve?
Take out the No Reserve listings (of which there were 17) and there were 18 RNMs and 24 Solds. So 43% were unsold.
Following up on the earlier discussion abouit BaT moving the "Results" off the main page... they have also changed the nomenclature for No Sale or RNM.
They're now referring to RNM listings as "Bid to $XXXX"
Yeah, no shit the listing was bid to. Any listing which received a bid was "bid to."
I can smell the desperation from these guys.
If things keep going down, I expect that we will see many of the recently acquired cars being sold by their new-ish owners. Hopefully at fire-sale prices.
It's amazing what rapid growth in folks' 401ks and stock portfolios does to their psychology.
They've been using the "bid to" term for a while, I believe. I tend to scroll down to these listings on my daily BAT email to see what didn't make is and what failed miserably.
Dan
I'm fairly certain the Bid To was a change in the past week.
"Bid To" has been used as far back as 2014 from what I can see:
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1979-alfa-alfetta-sport-sedan/
Is ‘no-show’ shaming a BAT rarity? If so, its interesting the seller in this case is Dean.
Based on my observations, I would assume he (single handedly) has been responsible for a large percentage of their theoretical profit...
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They started this (the text from their site) sometime after Spring/Summer of 2017, maybe later.
It's actually a good thing, there's more to it than meets the eye. For BAT to get to this point, there is more behind the scenes than is evident. I had a guy who "bought" my car pull a bunch of squirrely/manipulative moves to try to get out of the deal after the auction was over. He was clearly an impulsive and emotional guy, he was from south FLA, and after weeks of back & forth, with BAT getting involved, he realized none of his games to back out were going to work. It was too bad, he got a great deal. They banned him, refunded my listing fee (I didn't care about that, the 3 week hassle of dealing with a guy like that was far more of a headache than the small listing fee). They were reticent to relist my car, as I suspect they did not want potential future sellers to see this kind of stuff happening. As the site became more popular and more of this started to happen, they seem to have come up with an official policy and wording (per above). I believe if you, as a buyer, point out there were material misrepresentations and want to back out, they would not do this. For it to get to the point of them making the above statement, the buyer flew the coop or did something off the wall.
I agree. I wonder what Ebay's logic is behind this?I remember back in the day when there was a stigma attached to being a renegger on eBay. Nowadays they don't care. They only punish sellers.
Yes. eBay is like honey badger, they just don't care.I agree. I wonder what Ebay's logic is behind this?
Is it, "there will always be plenty of sellers and items selling, we need to keep the buyers coming back because they are the one's with the cash."
T...... the BAT person involved with the auction assured me that if they determined the high bidder wasn't coming through they would put me in touch with the second highest bidder. This seems to be their modus operandi for such situations. The buyer finally did come through, but it took them almost three weeks to collect the car.
Dan
Yes, they offered to do that for me also, but in my case, since it took 3 weeks to play out, the 2nd highest bidder had already moved on (too bad, he had come to see the car before bidding). BAT was actually pretty good and helpful, but after 3 weeks of games/drama with original BAT "buyer", I just sold it locally. I needed the garage space by then.
I was happy with BAT and give them credit for permanently bouncing the guy.
A listing just came up for a MKIV Supra.
One of the posters made a spot-on discovery in one of the pics... there's a spray can of something in the passenger seat of the car. The commenter made the call for it being a rattle can of flat black paint. Other posters are dismissing it as glass cleaner.
If one looks at the undercarriage pics, it is blatantly obvious that the seller has sprayed the ever loving crap out of certain areas to cover over patina/rust.
I've got my popcorn ready for this one. Seller is brand new to BaT. And there's a lot of passion around this car model. I composed a BaT comment which supports the cover up, but it's likely that it won't see the light of day due to heavy-handed site moderation.
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1998-toyota-supra-6/
(And yes, it takes very little to entertain me)
EDIT: BaT published my comment. Amazing.
Ace,
After reading the commentary and looking at the pics, IMOP, the guy selling this Supra is pretty anal about anybody even touching the car during service. He may have used a rattle can to sharpen the underside up a little but I don’t think he is covering up anything that would make a buyer refuse to take delivery. My only comment on the touch up paint is that I would expect and hope he prepped it so it doesn’t just flake off.
IMOP, this car is ultra clean and well taken care of and I expect there will be a flurry of last minute bidding. I would expect it to go for top $$$ whatever that might be for these cars. I usually don’t read the fine print is there a reserve?
lol
Every BaT auction has a reserve, unless it says "No Reserve" at the top of the listing. Here's a sample of what a No Reserve listing looks like:I usually don’t read the fine print is there a reserve?
I would be interested to know how this one ended up:
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1990-mercedes-benz-300sel-6/
So the seller had a reserve, which is sort of surprising for this car, and it wasn't met. High bidder wants to reach seller, no means of doing so through BAT. Will BAT provide contact information? If so, what's the criteria? How close does the high bid have to be, or is it simply tough beans? If they do give the contact information they won't get their fee, one would presume.
Dan
I would be interested to know how this one ended up:
https://bringatrailer.com/listing/1990-mercedes-benz-300sel-6/
So the seller had a reserve, which is sort of surprising for this car, and it wasn't met. High bidder wants to reach seller, no means of doing so through BAT. Will BAT provide contact information? If so, what's the criteria? How close does the high bid have to be, or is it simply tough beans? If they do give the contact information they won't get their fee, one would presume.
So now there's a seller who has a potential sale yet they have no way of reaching their potential buyer. Hmm. I've often pondered how one could find a way to establish contact with a commenter, seller or bidder on BAT.... maybe someone could set up a forum for BAT posters where they could identify themselves and make contact. I wonder how BAT would react to that? Poorly, I suspect.
Dan
If you're interested in a car, it's best to obtain the sellers info via the "Contact Seller" mechanism prior to the hammer.
The seller is doing a great job tugging on the heart strings. And the commenters are slurping it up. He's denied doing any such thing.
There's no question that there was a liberal application of rattle can.
I'm mean c'mon....
.View attachment 83928
In my best estimation, there was a spraying some time (or times) in the past, and then it was "touched up" just before the pics were taken.
Doesn't BaT take bidder's credit card info and charge them the commission/fee even if the sale doesn't consummate...?
Yes. When you place a bid, the charge is secured. It is released when you are outbid. If you are not outbid, the charge is confirmed by BaT.
I think BaT should have a mechanism where the buyer's bid includes the uplift from the previous high bid. So if the winning bidder drove the price up from $40K to $50K, the buyer would be on the hook for $12.5K ($10K + 5% BaT fee). The seller would get the $10K and could then complete the sale with the 2nd highest bidder for $40K (and no Buyer fee to the runner up).
Robert
The downside of that system is that a sale might fall through because the seller misrepresented the car. You could say that’s the buyer’s problem for not doing proper diligence before bidding. But realistically for a one week auction there isn’t much time for diligence. So I think the effect would be a significant chill on bidding. And I’m sure BaT has good enough lawyers to avoid getting into decisions about whether the buyer flakes or the seller misrepresented.
I think the current system is about as good as you can make it. The 5% commission should ensure that most buyers are serious. But you can’t make rules to eliminate all a$&holes and idiots. Besides, as alluded to above, I bet a lot of non sales are a result of shill bidding. At one point I thought it would be good to give the seller the 5% commission if the buyer backs out. But that would mean no consequence for shill bidding.
What the heck does this mean? ^^^After a back and forth with the seller, it has become clear that he intends to take steps that will cause problems for the eventual winner. As a result, we are forced to withdraw this auction, a step we rarely take. This seller will no longer be allowed to bid, sell, or otherwise participate on BaT. We apologize for any inconvenience and appreciate your support of the site.
What the heck does this mean? ^^^
What "steps" would a seller take to cause problems for the buyer?