I think many of you are radically underestimating how much non-urban/suburban use of vehicles is out there, not to mention petroleum in general.
Think about all of the farm, rural, industrial, logistical use of gas and diesel across the country. For transporting goods. For harvesting crops. For bring crops to market. For manufacturing goods. For making plastics, medicines, and tons of other products.
Petroleum ain’t going away. And I can and will tell you, and we are already seeing it: for now, EVs have largely reached a point of saturation — especially among coast-dwellers where there is some charging infrastructure — and people are resisting buying them.
I think many people are actually open to EVs. It much of the resistance comes from the government increasingly mandating them and trying to shove them down peoples’ throats. People don’t take kindly to that and will resist that.
States that are mandating EV sales percentages for next decade are already having to back off. Even California is going to face this reality soon enough with its EV sales mandate and electric truck mandate. People are going to resist and then just ignore it.
You think your average I-5 long distance trucker, or your farmer in Fresno, or your average local yokel in Bakersfield is going to go out and buy an expensive EV? Nope, they are going to keep their ICE vehicle investments going as long as possible.
The biggest issue I see is that these mandates and laws and wishful thinking and “urban/suburban 80% of driving” use cases are all done by people who live where there is infrastructure. LA, OC, SFO, Portland, Seattle, Denver, NYC, DC, Chicago, Boston. But most people don’t have that luxury.
@Glen, driving an EV from San Diego County up I-5 to Seattle for a vacation would be a very different and much less stressful exercise than driving an EV up to say, Montana to visit the
@gsxr or to Birmingham AL to visit Klink. Just sayin’
We have to think of the ENTIRE population, not just folks who live in or near large population centers. I don’t think enough people take that into consideration.